I was having a political conversation with someone and they remarked about the cost of the war and it’s economic effect on “the working class people like you and me”. Internally I bristled because I don’t think of my world as a caste system broken down by economic class. I don’t think that just because someone falls in the same tax bracket as I do that we have a cause in common and we are obliged to look after each others interests.

In my world every man is my potential enemy until proven otherwise and likewise everyone is also a potential friend associate. I am not ‘everyman’ or ‘the working man’. If anything I’m the ‘at work barely doing anything man’, but that takes too long to say. Just call me Michael.

That said I don’t pretend to really know what the long term implications are of a prolonged deployment of American forces. I know that the economic stimulus of World War II helped lift the US out of the Great Depression and that deficit spending isn’t always bad (Keynesian economics). But in this case we weren’t in a depression before the invasion of Iraq so I’m not sure what happens now. Some people think the deficit will kick off another depression but I don’t believe that.

For a depression to kick in I think you need multiple negative factors all hitting at once (e.g. trade deficit, high unemployment, oil shortage). I don’t think that this applies now because if the dollar is falling in value that should stimulate exports, the price of oil has stabized and plus I don’t think unemployment is really an issue right now.

Barring some huge calamity I think the market can be pretty good at balancing things out. We had an arms buildup and severe deficit spending during the Reagan years when unemployment was markedly higher and things turned out damn good back then so I’m not worried about that.

What does worry me is talk about invading Iran. Don’t want it, don’t need it. I think enough of a message has been sent with Iraq that nobody else really wants to test the US right now. Even Ghaddafi chilled the fuggout. The military is spread too thin as it is right now and my son will be draft age in four years. Worst case scenario is not something I want to think about and I don’t think it’s necessary. Tell the dealer no hit, we ought to stand pat.

17 Responses to “Alignment”

  1. rae says:

    Unfortunately, from a sociologist’s point of view, we are grouped together by economic, social, religious, cultural, and many other factors. It’s when most of them line up that we can truly be categorically connected. I don’t think it means you have to look out for their interests but maybe ask yourself how you all ended up where you are- in this category.

    As far as economics- I’m not sure any of us can predict what the deficit increase will mean-or the speading of American troops. I feel that we are weaker the more things we put our hands in and that it is getting riskier by the day to have so few troops here to protect us. That’s just me.

  2. rae says:

    spreading thin of American Troops – my bad

  3. guy in the UNLV jacket says:

    You should ask your friend what the difference between the common and uncomon workig man.

  4. Mexigogue says:

    I was going to object saying all classes work. Then I forgot about people who fake disability and that blew my argument all to hell.

  5. guy in the UNLV jacket says:

    They work. It takes them effort to come up with a fake disability and collect their illgotten checks

  6. Phelps says:

    Whether or not we attack Iran is entirely Iran’s decision. You have to remember, though — the nutcases running Iran are, in fact, nutcases. They don’t act rationally, and MAD isn’t something that will persuade them, because they don’t actually believe that we will do it. They have been at war with us for the last year, since it is Iranian Intelligence that is directing the terrorists in Iraq. (Same old war, different armies.) We just haven’t been attacking back. The question is whether or not we keep the fighting in Iraq (bad for Iraqis) or move it into Iran (bad for the Persians.)

  7. guy in the UNLV jacket says:

    Iran is an awesome example of how a 12th century tehocracy is outdated buy about 900 years!!!

  8. Mexigogue says:

    Hey, stop knocking Iran. Their system is my last hope of becoming an Ayotollah so I can move over there and become a virtual Fonz!

  9. R says:

    That post was the shit, asshole. Be my friend.

  10. Mexigogue says:

    Thou must provest thyself worthy first. Hast thou a police taser to shock thineself? Hehe!

  11. R says:

    Hellz no. I just want to be able say “Yo, this bad-ass Mexican pendejo’s got my back, homes” if like, we should ever actually hang out and some shit goes down.

  12. Mexigogue says:

    Come on! Everybody else on this blog shocked themself before they were down!

  13. Phelps says:

    I dribbled in my pants when I did it.

    Just a little bit. Like a thimble full.

  14. R says:

    Okay, fine. The next time I get tazered, by my hand or otherwise, I’ll let y’all know.

  15. R says:

    Tasered. Fuck your spelling rules.

  16. Jeremy says:

    Damn, Mex, I’m sorry – I bet R found your blog through mine. I’ll pay for all the damage in due course – right now the most important thing is to get R back on his meds.

    I disagree with the “multiple factors cause a depression” argument. Not that there aren’t multiple factors right now, but economics is all a confidence game. All it would take would be for some sign that the U.S. isn’t good for all of it’s debt and WHAM suddenly we’re buying durable goods and ramen with boxes of 9 mm casings.

    Look at the last depression. All it took was a lack of confidence in the stock market, and wham. Once that capital dries up you are in a downward spiral that only Stalin or Roosevelt can save you from. And that was back in the day when a significant portion of the population grew their own food! Imagine a depression now?

  17. guy in the UNLV Jacket says:

    It would be pretty depressing